45-32-3 on the NFL up 40.50 units

Back above 40 units for the season. Vegas went back to making money this weekend with the Browns, Titans, and Cardinals all covering against the Falcons, Patriots, and Chiefs. The Titans and Cardinals covering was easy for me to see coming, but the Browns dominating the Falcons threw me off a little.

Nothing like having NFC East teams in primetime Sunday and Monday night.. Big Dick Nick and the 49ers have a little confidence after shit-pumping the Raiders 35-3 last week. Gruden is a hell of a coach, maybe they will draft a wideout (Cooper) or pass rusher (Mack) with all their first round picks. The 49ers are favored in this game, but I can’t help but think this line is skewed because Nick Mullens looked so good against Oakland. Saquon and Odell can score a touchdown on any given play against this San Francisco defense that gives up over 26 points a game. New York’s defense gives up over 25 points a game as well, which leads me to my bet tonight.

Giants/49ers over 44.5 for 3 units. 49ers are 31st in DVOA on balls thrown to the left side of the field by their opponents. Odell should probably line up on that side if the Giants want to put up points. This total seems a few points lower than it should be. Every 49ers home game has gone over this number, except for last week when Oakland could only put up 3 points. Hot take: the Giants will score more than 3 points. I just see Barkley running all over this defense, Odell having some big plays, and Mullens coming back to Earth a little while still playing well. I see a 27-24 type game here.

Leave a Reply