91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units
10-9 on tennis in 2019 down 7.89 units
Pierre-Hughes Herbert +2.5 for 4 units. Hyeon Chung lost his opening round match at Pune and Auckland before winning his opening matchup against Klahn here. Herbert is a similar, but better opponent than Klahn. Chung has a lack of fitness and consistency. I like the underdog.
Kei Nishikori -2.5 sets at +107 for 4 units. Kei is 5-0 this year. Nishikori needed 5 sets to beat Kamil Majchrzak, but him prevailing after a terrible start has to give him confidence. Karlovic is in the midst of a little career revival at age 39. His baseline game and serve are just as good if not better than they have ever been. NIshikori is 7-0 in the second round of this tournament. Nishikori’s ability to break Karlovic and make him work should give Nishikori the easy win.
Fabio Fognini -3 at -120 for 6 units. Fognini will win if his mind is right. Mayer beat Jarry in 4 sets to get his 4th win at the AO in 9 trips here. Not that great. Fognini lost to Mayer both times last year on clay, but Fognini has the advantage on this surface.
Philipp Kohlschreiber at -257 for 3 units. The German has the experience over Sousa, but the H2H is tied 2-2. Kohlschreiber has played great this season, except for his loss to Sandgren. Sousa struggles with guys that can return well. Kohlschreiber isn’t the best returner, but he is good enough.
Daniil Medvedev at -571 for 2 units. Medvedev has taken the leap to the top of tennis, Ryan Harrison hasn’t. The Russian won 80% of his first serve points last round. He’s hot.