ATP Open Sud de France and ATP Sofia Quarterfinals

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

24-16 on tennis in 2019 up 8.79 units

Roberto Bautista-Agut -3 at -157 for 4 units. Marton Fucsovics struggled against debutant Yannick Maden. I thought Fucsovics would handle him easily, but he gave away a set and a break lead to barely win. The Hungarian #1 only converted 4 out of 24 break points. Not good. Bautista-Agut won this tournament in 2016 and is coming off a career best quarterfinal result at a grand slam (the Australian Open). This is the first meeting between the two, but Bautista-Agut is in better form, has a great history here, and is the more experienced player.

Stefanos Tsitsipas at -150 for 4 units. Gael Monfils makes for a fun opponent for the twenty-year-old Greek. They played a close 2-1 match in Shanghai last season with Stefanos gutting out the win. Stefanos has already beat Roger Federer this season on his way to a semifinal berth at the Australian Open. Monfils is also in-form. Gael has won 13 of his last 15 hardcourt matches. Gael’s athleticism will not be enough to overcome poor shot selection and an inconsistent backhand against an opponent of this caliber. If Stefanos gets stuck in baseline rallies, he could be in trouble… but he knows this and will move forward well. Monfils can certainly win this match, but the Greek youngster provides solid value again today.

Tomas Berdych -3 at -118 for 5 units. Berdych is now 6-0 in his career at this tournament. The Czech was the runner-up at Doha and made the round of 16 at the AO. Great results already this season for Berdych. This will be Filip Krajinovic’s 5th match in 7 days on the hardcourts. Krajinovic is a little fatigued, has less experience, is in worse form, and has a disadvantage on this surface. Berdych should be favored by more.

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