Soccer January 6th

7-0 in soccer up 10.42 units

Lazio ML for 5 units. Lazio travel well and have not lost in 9 of their last 10 on the road. They also do well against relegation candidates having won all their matches against these type of opponents on the road. Spal played well in a 0-0 draw last time out against Lazio, but do not look for them to be able to contain Lazio’s second highest scoring offense in Italy for 180 minutes on the season.

Leicester City ML for 4 units. Vardy vs his former club. Fleetwood town have lost their last 3 home games vs weaker competition.

Leicester City Fleetwood Town over 2.5 for 2 units. Leicester City has been hitting overs at a 70% clip over their last 10 and Fleetwood has one of the worst defenses in League one. These odds seems a little too generous, which scares me. It does not scare me enough to go against the number though. If Leicester does not play Mahrez, Vardy, or Okazaki.. stay away. If two or more of them play, punch it in. This goes for the money line as well. 

Eibar +0.5 for 3 units. Eibar have had a long layoff, but they still have the best form in La Liga over their past 5 games. Yes better then the defending champs. Palmas did play mid week, and looked good in doing so. I think Eibar just has more firepower. This will be an entertaining game. Eibar are actually the underdog even though they are facing a relegation candidate. Eibar also does not travel well. All these things give us better odds for the better team. Take the better odds.

Huddersfield Town +0 for 3 units. Bolton is missing four midfielders.. FOUR. This will be huge, I know Huddersfield does not travel well and Bolton has been in good form. I know Huddersfield may be more concerned with staying the the Premier League than they are with this cup, but I just think they will dominate the midfield. I could see this game being close, then Huddersfield pulling away with strong subs in the second half. Look for former Monaco defender Kongolo to rotate in the starting lineup for Huddersfield.

Chelsea ML for 2 units. Chelsea will most likely field a weak team for their standards, but I still think they pull out a win. They should be able to contain the limited Norwich attack. I like betting Chelsea in these spots because they usually field a young lineup. These young players will want to prove that they should start week in and week out. Hungry Chelsea players equals a win.

 

 

NBA January 5th

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

9-3 on NBA in 2018 up 10.74 units

Wizards -4 for 4 units. Grizzlies have only beat the Kings and Lakers lately. Kings and Lakers may be the two worst teams in the league. John Wall is still a beast. Grizzlies are 13-23 against the spread this year.

Suns Spurs over 211 for 3 units. Suns have one of the worst defenses in the league and the Spurs have been scoring a little more with Leonard back. The Suns score more with Booker as well, they looked awful when he was out. The Spurs should get over 110 points in this one against the league’s worst defense.

Nuggets -6 for 2 units. Nuggets have only lost 4 home games all year. Jazz have only won 3 games on the road all year. Smacked the Jazz the last time they played at home. The nuggets drafted Donavon Mitchell who is the leader in the rookie of the year running for the Jazz. Nuggets bevy of weapons on offense will be too much for the Jazz to handle.

NCAAB January 5th

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

5-4 on NCAAB in 2018 up 1.68 units 

Princeton +3 for 3 units. Just think they are a better team than Penn. Princeton has won 8 in a row against them and have been better against the spread all year. Princeton has beat some good teams this year like Southern California and Hawaii. Lafayette is their common opponent and Princeton beat them by 14 and the Quakers only beat them by 5. Take the points in what will most likely be a close game.

College of Charleston -6 for 3 units. Drexel just lost by 20 to UNCW. College of Charleston is just the better team no matter how you look at it. Drexel has a poor defense allowing 77 points a game. Look for a double digit victory.

Oregon -2.5 for 3 units. Kenny Wooten is averaging 3.3 block per game and I think he will be a great counter to Oregon state’s best player Tres Tinkle. Oregon has been inconsistent with their young team, but I think they pull this one out. These teams have similar defenses, but Oregon’s better offense should help them cover the spread. Best of luck.

NBA January 4th

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

7-3 on NBA in 2018 up 7.86 units

Warriors ML for 4 units. Not going to overthink this one. Warriors will want to avenge the loss they had in the opener. Curry has been red hot of late. The public is all over this one and are pushing the line up, I can’t see the Warriors going 0-2 vs the Rockets, especially when the Rockets don’t have Harden. Also, love that this game is on TNT. I’ve missed Shaq, Charles, and Ernie.

My lean for the Thunder/Clippers game is the Thunder -1 and will play for a unit just because I will be watching. Best of luck.

 

Soccer January 4th

5-0 in soccer up 7.18 units

Barcelona – Celta Vigo under 3 for 4 units. No Messi, no Iniesta, and no Suarez for Barcelona. I think this match ends 1-1, but could even see a 1-0 victory for Celta Vigo. Ousmane Dembele should play for Barcelona, but that is not enough for them to score goals like they would with Messi on the pitch. Their last match together ended 2-2, but this one will be a lot less open without Messi.

Celta Vigo +1 for 2.5 units. Look for Maximiliano Gomez and Iago Aspas to put pressure on the Barcelona backline. Both are top 10 goal scorers in La Liga and Messi is the only player with more goals than Aspas this year.

NCAAB January 4th

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

3-3 in 2018 down 0.14 units

Lost both overtime games yesterday with small spreads. Rough.

Cincy -7 for 4 units. Temple has struggled lately after beating some solid teams in the beginning of the year. Cincy is hot right now and they will look to go 2-0 in the conference. Temple will not be ready for how good Cincy is on the defensive side of the ball. The bearcats rebound better, force turnovers better, score better… you get the picture..

OSU +1 for 3 units. Iowa is real bad this year. They are 0-7 vs “good” opponents. OSU’s only recent loss came to UNC. Iowa has started 0-3 in conference play while OSU is 2-0. OSU beat a below average Wisconsin team on the road. Iowa just hasn’t beat anybody worth a damn all year and I don’t see that starting here.

Gonzaga -20 for 3 units. Pepperdine is just not in the same class as the Zags. Thought this spread would be at about 26 or 27. Pepperdine has a bad defense, and Gonzaga has a great offense. Not good for Pepperdine. The Waves have lost 5 in a row, Gonzaga will look to take their win streak to 3 games after their surprising loss to SDSU.

 

NCAAB January 3rd

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

2-1 in 2018 up 2.88 units

Richmond +2 for 3 units. Richmond has been playing better since this horrible start to the season. They were an easy team to fade early in the year, but I think it will come back to the mean in conference play. I actually think they win this one outright, but will take the points to be safe. Fordham has an awful offense and is poor at rebounding, I like this matchup.

VCU -1 for 3 units. Tillman will be too much for St Joes to handle. This line confuses me because VCU has the better defense, the better point guard, and the best big man in this game. Maybe it is because VCU has not won an away game all year, I think they win this one. Not going to overthink it.

Kentucky -2 for 3 units. VCU’s former coach Will Wade will go against the best team in the SEC. Have you heard this Kentucky team is young? LSU does have a potent offense, but Kentucky has a more balanced attack with five players averaging double figures in points. LSU is good at home at 7-1 on the season, but this will be the best defense they have faced all year. It seems like LSU should be slightly favored, but they are not so I am going to go against my gut and go with vegas. Best of luck.

NBA January 3rd

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

5-1 in 2018 up 7.08 units

Suns won last night but did not cover the -2 for my only loss in 2018 so far. Unreal bad luck. Schroder made a meaningless 2 point shot to cover the spread for them with one second remaining…

Raptors -5 for 4 units. Raptors have been hot and I think Dwane Casey should get some coach of the year consideration. Bulls have got lucky playing people without their stars, but will not get that fortunate in this one. DeRozan is a beast. Both teams have a good against the spread record, but I am going to ride with the hotter team.

Rockets Magic under 220 for 3 units. No James Harden. Magic offense is not that great. Magic and their opponent have not had 220 points in a game since December 23rd. Rockets have struggled since their hot November and early December. The line is right were I think it should be, but this total seems a little high the more I look at it.

Thunder ML – Warriors ML – Timberwolves ML Parlay for 3 units at +160. Lakers fade for the Thunder. Warriors look better again with Steph and his Curry gravity. Warriors have beat the Mavs by a combined 45 points in two games this year and I expect that number to go up. Twolves are 8-2 in the last 10 and are just better than the Nets. Towns and Butler are going to be too much for the poor Nets’ defense to handle.

Cavs +4 for 3 units. Lebron vs Kyrie. Crowder is back as well. This line is weird to me and usually I would zag and take Celtics -4, but I like Lebron in this revenge match too much. Cavs have won their last 2 on the second end of a back 2 back after starting 0-3 in those games on the season. These teams have already played once this year and that was a tough game for the Celtics as Hayward shattered his ankle. Cavs are 3.5 games back from the Celtics and Lebron may act like he does not care about that, but I think he does. Think this will be a close game so I am taking the points.

 

Soccer January 3rd

4-0 in soccer up 5.72 units

Sevilla ML for 2 units in La Copa. Carnaval de Cádiz starts next month, but I doubt the Cádiz futbol club will still be playing in the Spanish cup then. I think Cádiz will come out firing which will leave them open to the counter. Sevilla does struggle away from home this year and historically, but Cádiz is one of the closer places they can travel to being only about an hour and half away. Cádiz did beat Sevilla’s cross town rival Real Betis in the round before, but they will not be able to beat both Sevilla teams. Take Sevilla and the low juice.