32-24-1 in soccer down 1.57 units
Atletico Madrid ML at -186 for 3 units. Valencia are right behind Madrid in the standings, but they are not in great form. They have lost their last 4 games in all competitions. Atletico wins over 60% of their games at home this season. Diego Costa should start up top and provide a physical presence Atletico has missed for portions of this season. I thought this line would be about -260 so taking the perceived value.
Atalanta Chievo under 3 for 2 units at -135. Chievo has given up 12 goals in their last 5 league games, but the last two meetings between these teams ended 1-0 and 1-1. Atalanta have not been playing end to end football and have not had a game with more than 3 goals since December 17th vs Lazio. I like this spot here.
Frankfurt +0 at +105 for 3 units. Hannover 96 +0 at +136 for 3 units. Grouping these two together because the betting angle is similar for both of them. They are the away teams in better form at plus odds. Hamburger just has too many injuries and have struggled at home losing to Koln 2-0 most recently. Hannover, although they have struggled away, should take advantage of this spot. Frankfurt have won their past 4 away games in all competitions and are in some of the best form in the Bundesliga, while their opponent, Augsburg, only has 5 points in their past 5 games. Best of luck.