69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

9-12 on the NFL this season down 2.09 units 

Will the Browns keep Browning or the Jets keep being the Jets? The Browns had 29842309 penalties last week. They have to clean that up. Trevor Siemian is starting his first game since 2017. That year with the Broncos, Siemian threw 12 Tds and 14 Ints while completing 59% of his passes.

Browns -9.5 at +135 for 3 units. Cleveland will have less penalties than last week. The Jets are 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games at home. They have lost by an average of over 13 points in those games. CJ Mosley being out for the Jets is the deal-breaker. He had a pick 6 and played a part in Josh Allen’s fumble in week 1. Once he got hurt, the Bills were able to start moving the ball. Quinnen “pronounces calamari and Kyler Murray the exact same” Williams is also out for the Jets D. The Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss. I like Cleveland for a big bounceback game here. The Browns haven’t started the season 1-1 or better since they beat the Titans in week 2 in 2015 (Johnny Manziel threw two touchdowns in that win). Odell wants to go off to stick it to Gregg Williams.

Trevor Siemian over 19.5 completions at -110 for 4 units. Siemian can’t play much worse than Darnold did last week. Darnold was 28-41. That is 4.76 yards per attempt. Siemian can throw the ball 5 yards to Bell and Crowder over and over again… Also, I expect the Jets to be down. Gameflow should help this wager.

Jamison Crowder will have over 4.5 receptions at -139 for 3 units. Crowder had 14 catches last week for 99 yards. That is the most catches ever for a wideout without getting 100 yards. I expect Siemian to dump down to him a lot. Bell is active, Sorry for the late post, but I wanted Bell to be active so this line would come down. It moved from -167 to -140.

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