Image result for severino pitch overlay gif

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

48-42 on MLB this season down 1.29 units

6-3 on playoffs up 4.51 units

Yankees at +135 for 6 units. Severino vs Cole. Cole led the league in strikeouts this season with 326. Severino is pitching for the first time since October 7th. Yankees need him to go deep in the game as they used 8 relievers in Game 2. The Yankees are averaging 9 runs a game at home this postseason. Cole is 18-0 in his last 24 games, but pitching in the Bronx in October is a different animal. Yankees 7-8-9 hitters should do more damage than Houston’s 7-8-9 hitters. New York almost has to win this game to win the series in my eyes. There may be a rainout in this series, which would mean more rest for Verlander. Yankees can’t lost at home. Taking the value here, even if it is a little square.

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