Category: Basketball

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

13-13-1 this season up 2.29 units

George Mason +8 for 3 units. I bet against GMU once this season and they really surprised me with how well they played. Coming into the season I did not think Mason would do this well. They struggled a little in non-conference, but are tied atop the A-10 right now. The Siegel center is never an easy place to play. VCU has one of the best home-courts in the country. VCU lost at Rhode Island. GMU dominated at Rhode Island. Basketball is a game of matchups. Marcus Evans and De’Riante Jenkins are solid for VCU, but 9 points is a lot in a rivalry game.

Virginia -19 for 3 units. UVA has one loss on the year and that was a 72-70 loss to Dook. Miami has lost their last 4 games. Virginia has the best defense in the country. Miami’s defense has about 13 lapses a game. UVA is 16-4 ATS. Miami is 6-14 ATS. This line should be above 20.

Old Dominion -12 for 3 units. Rice doesn’t have the size or defense to keep up with ODU on the road. BJ Stith is a fun guard to watch for the Monarchs. He averages almost 8 rebounds a game as a guard.

Ohio State/Florida State/Dayton/Kansas/Charleston/IPFW Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.75 units. I always seem to get Kansas games wrong this year. Kansas, nobody likes a parlay killer.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

12-12-1 this season up 3.09 units

Michigan and Davidson are road teams tonight that are not favored by enough. The public has moved the lines already, so they are more favored than when the lines opened. Vegas made a small mistake in both these games IMO. Michigan should be favored by 8 or 9, Davidson should be favored by 5 or 6.

Davidson at -125 for 4 units. Davidson has the best player on the court in Kellan Grady. The kid was recruited by some big schools, but chose to go to the school his favorite player played at (Steph Curry). St Bonaventure lost a lot of experience from last year and that shows in their 6-12 record. Bonaventure has won two in a row, but those games were against bottom of the A-10 teams Richmond and UMass. Davidson wins on the road.

Michigan -5 at -107 for 4 units. Iowa has lost two in a row and is 0-2 against top 10 teams this season (Michigan State twice). Iowa has a solid offense, but Michigan’s defense is one of the best they will have faced. Defense travels. If you haven’t seen Ignas Brazdeikis play this season tune in. He is a great freshman that doesn’t play for Dook.

NBA Trade Deadline, Soccer Transfer Deadline, and Super Bowl coverage will all be posted in the next 48 hours. Stay tuned. 

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

11-12-1 this season up 0.48 units

Gonzaga -13 at -115 for 3 units. The Zags have put up crazy good numbers this season, averaging 91.4 points and over 18.5 assists. They have beat WCC opponents by an average of 30 points a game. BYU is a WCC opponent. Rui Hachimura is good. BYU doesn’t have a standout player like they have in the past (Jimmer or Kyle Collinsworth). Yoeli Childs is a great forward for BYU, but he still has a lot to do to be on Collinsworth or Jimmer’s level. BYU doesn’t have the depth of talent to keep up with Gonzaga.. even at home.

 

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

9-11-1 this season up 0.16 units

I usually don’t bet on road teams like this, but I like all three of these spots. Buffalo, Butler, and Michigan have all been solid teams all season.

Buffalo at -385 for 4 units. Kent State doesn’t have the depth, size, or defense to stop Buffalo. It is that simple.

Michigan at -219 for 3 units. Michigan is 9-10 ATS this season, but they have only lost one game straight up. Indiana has lost 5 in a row and would require a huge upset to beat this Final Four bound Michigan team. Ignas Brazdeikis is fun to watch. If you watch ESPN you wouldn’t believe it, but there are great freshmen that don’t play for Duke. Ignas is one of them.

Butler +2.5 at -105 for 2 units. Butler and Creighton are similar teams, but I’ll take the points. Butler is one of the best defensive teams Creighton has faced this season. Kamar Baldwin struggled for Butler against Villanova, but he has been great this season. I expect him to bounce back here. This will be a close game, but if one team can blow out the other, it’ll be Butler.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

9-10-1 this season up 3.16 units

Dayton +4 for 3 units. VCU does play a lot better at home, but they don’t have a consistent offensive weapon. Marcus Evans and De’Riante Jenkins are great for VCU. Josh Cunningham, Jalen Crutcher, and Obadiah Toppin can all drain 3s for Dayton. VCU struggles with teams that can play inside out like Dayton can. This will be a close game, take the points.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

5-9-1 this season down 1.31 units

Missed both my parlays by one team last time out (UNC losing to Kentucky and Georgia Tech losing to Georgia). I am 0-3 betting on GT this year. I’m not a quitter, but I quit Georgia Tech. Starting with a ridiculous parlay and ending with more reasonable straight up bets winners.

Hornets(NBA – don’t care it isn’t college, get over it), Wake Forest, Butler, So Illinois, Bradley, Houston, Villanova, Michigan State, Loyola Chicago, Kansas, UNLV, and Nevada parlay risking 1 unit to win 15.86 units. All home teams that are favored. Hornets will prolly lose to the Mavs and all the college basketball ones will hit with my luck.

North Carolina -16 at -120 for 2 units. Harvard has only one double digit loss on the year, but they haven’t played anybody. UNC wins by 20 or more. Nassir Little played poorly against Kentucky, so he got few minutes. People gave Roy a doggone hard time for not playing Little, but I think Little stands out tonight against the Ivy League school.

Nebraska Omaha at -156 for 2 units. Zach Jackson and Omaha get it done at home tonight against a North Dakota St. team that hasn’t won away all year.

Central Florida at -231 for 2 units. UCF are bigger than Temple and play better defense. Take the home team. Tacko Fall is second in FG% and 4th in blocks in the country for UCF.

South Florida +4 at -121 for 2 units. Home Dog. Connecticut is the basketball powerhouse, but USF has a good chance to get a win in this one. I’ll take the points for the team at home that is 10-2.

61-53-2 on NBA in 2018 up 9.28 units

20-21-2 on NBA this season down 14.83 units

Hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas! Now place some bets, grab a beer (or egg nog or whiskey drink, or red wine, or kahlua and coffee), and find a room without in-laws….

Bucks/Knicks over 223.5 for 1 unit. Public is on the under. Giannis – Mario Hezonja rematch. Giannis and the Bucks pour it on in this one. The over/under keeps going down, but I like this spot.

Warriors -9 at -105 for 3 units. Lakers don’t have the perimeter defense or 3-point shooters to keep up with Golden State. The Grizzlies shot over 50% from deep on them last time out. Lakers play at one of the fastest paces in the league.. not a good recipe against the Warriors. Kuzma, Ball, and Ingram shoot about 30% from deep this season. Ball sucked from deep against the Grizzlies. Steph and KD are hot. I see a 119-105 type game here.

Bucks/Thunder/Celtics/Warriors Parlay risking 1.5 units to win 5.32 units. Bucks and Warriors will win, which leaves the Celtics and Thunder. Celtics beat the 76ers 4-1 in the playoffs last season and beat them on opening night this season. Joel Embiid said it best, “they always kick our ass.” Horford and Morris are back in the lineup. Kyrie has been streaky lately. Taking Boston at home. Houston lost on Christmas Day last year to the Thunder. The Thunder are better now and the Rockets are worse. Paul George is averaging 35/11 on 47% shooting from deep over the past week. Harden is hot too, averaging 39/9 over the past week. The Thunder’s ability to defend, score from the bench, and rebound win them this game.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

5-7-1 this season up 1.69 units

Florida State/Colorado/UNC parlay risking 1.5 units to win 2.58 units. UNC scored 103 points against Gonzaga and now they play a Kentucky defense that is not as good. Luke Maye plays against the team he knocked out of the tournament two years ago. Sorry Malik Monk and De’Aaron Fox. Kabengele and Mann will be too much for St Louis. FSU wins at home. Colorado has won 6 in a row. Also, they are bigger and better at defense than Indiana State. Larry Bird’s alma mater loses today. 

Georgia Tech/West Virginia/Texas A&M/Virginia -19.5 parlay risking 1.5 units to win 3.98 units. Alvarado and Georgia Tech’s defense are enough to beat in-state rival Georgia. William & Mary won’t be able to score against UVA. UVA continues their domination of the state in basketball. Texas A&M are too big for Marshall and the Aggies play better at home. West Virginia will beat a smaller Jacksonville State team at home.

61-53-2 on NBA in 2018 up 9.28 units

19-19-2 on NBA this season down 9.99 units

Warriors couldn’t pull out a win against the Jazz and the Timberwolves lost my parlay in overtime in what was an 18 unit swing. Trailer Park Boys taught me that “that is just the way she goes” sometimes. Like some spots tonight..

Pistons +4.5 for 4 units. Charlotte has already beat the Pistons twice this season, but I like Detroit here. Charlotte hates being above .500 it seems and this win would put them there. Drummond and Griffin play well against Zeller, Marvin Williams, and MKG. I like the Pistons here because of the healthy Reggie Bullock. Bullock made 7 threes last time out. He is hot. Pistons got dominated on the free throw line in their last loss to Charlotte. I love the Hornets, but I don’t trust them beating any team 3 times in a row.

Magic -2 for 4 units. Bulls suck.

Kings at -127 for 4 units. Grizzlies have lost 4 in a row and Kings have looked good this season. Buddy Hield is a year older than we thought he was.. Would the Kings have traded Boogie if this info was known? Who knows. I do know that it doesn’t matter if Buddy is 25 or 26 because he has improved every year he has been in the league. I’d take him on my team for an expiring Boogie contract. Grizzlies are banged up. Good spot for Sacramento to get back to winning.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

4-7-1 this season down 1.95 units

Butler/Cal/Charleston/LSU Parlay risking 4 units to win 3.64 units. Kamar Baldwin and Butler have been solid to start the season. UC Irvine are 11-2, but Hinkle Fieldhouse is not an easy place to play. Butler has beat Florida and Ole Miss this season. Butler is favored by 10, which is about right, but I like them to win straight up at home. Cal hasn’t looked good this season, but luckily for them, they play a bad San Jose St team at home tonight. LSU plays #24 Furman tonight at home. LSU is coming off a good win vs Saint Mary’s. Furman beat Villanova earlier this year. LSU will be ready for them. Charleston is 5-1 at home, while Coastal Carolina is 1-4 on the road.