15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units
31-29 on NCAAB in 2018 up 3.93 units
Villanova -9.5 for 3 units. Providence just does not have the 3-point shooting to keep up with Villanova. The Wildcats won the first meeting between these two by 20. Villanova also has the better defense. Villanova lost to St. John’s because of St. John’s strong guard play, I do not think the Friars can get a performance like Shamorie Ponds put up for the Red Storm. Providence is 8-15 against the spread and Villanova is 17-8 against the spread. I thought this line would be about 13, so I am taking the value and the favorite.
VCU +3 for 2 units. Davidson has the better defense, but VCU has the better offense. Both these teams are 11-10 against the spread this season. Justin Tillman had 37 points in his last game, and will need to take over the rest of the season if he wants to go to the NCAA tournament in his senior season. VCU has only lost at home recently to Rhode Island and Richmond. Rhode Island is the best team in the conference and VCU just did not look right against Richmond. I’ll take the points with the home team as these teams are similar.
Mississippi State +1.5 for 2 units. Mississippi State is just better than Vanderbilt. The only reason this line makes any sense is because the Memorial Gymnasium is a tough place to play. Mississippi State has the better defense and the advantage inside. Vanderbilt has not lost at home in over a month, but I think that unbeaten run ends here.
NC State +5 for 2 units. My friends that are NC State fans hate me because every time I bet them, they do not cover. Let’s change that here. State is a good passing team averaging 16.2 assists per game. Passing and 3-point shooting is needed to beat the zone and I think the Wolfpack can do those things. Syracuse has won their last two games, but I do not think they are as good as NC State. This is a must win for both teams. Best of luck.