18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units
16-16 on NBA in 2018 down 6.08 units
Pacers -4 for 4 units. Nets have lost 6 in a row and have one of the worst defenses in the league. Oladipo and former Net Bojan Bogdanovic have been on a tear lately. Bojan is shooting 50% from deep over the past 6 games. The Pacers are holding opponents under 33% from 3 in their past 20 games and I expect them to pull away in this one because of that. Pacers are 3-0 vs the Nets this season, winning all the games by 4 or more.
Warriors -6 for 3 units. The player coach angle is an interesting one as the Warriors are 53-4 without Kerr since he has been their head coach. Ty Lue was asked about Kerr letting the players coach and said “I wouldn’t do that. They already say Lebron is coaching the team anyway. So, if I give him the clipboard, they are really going to say that.” Lue is not ignorant. Warriors won the last meeting between these two by 7. Warriors have won 3 in a row in pretty dominating fashion and average 11.5 more assists a game than the Blazers. This assists difference just shows the difference in these two offenses.
Jazz team total over 111 for 3 units. Jazz have been the best NBA team over the past 10 games and now they get one of the worst teams in the NBA. Utah’s game scripts have been dictated by their opponents, but they are proving they can win in low scoring games (like against the Grizzlies and Spurs) and high scoring games (like against the Warriors and Pelicans). The Suns allow 113 points a game and now they play the hottest team in the NBA on Utah’s home court… I’ll take the Jazz over please.
Pelicans team total under 118 for 3 units. This number is just too high against an improving Lakers defense. The Pelicans have not scored over 118 in a home game that did not go into overtime since January 12th. Lakers have been hot against the spread lately, (8-2 in the last 10) but I like them to hold Pelicans to about 106 points.. not 118. Best of luck.