Month: October 2018

17-18-3 on NFL down 3.68 units

Steelers -3.5 for 2 units. Big Ben at home. Falcons don’t have a secondary due to injuries, not that Pittsburgh has a great secondary either. Highest over/under of the day at 57. Start your fantasy players in this one. I don’t think the Falcons will be able to stop JuJu and Antonio Brown in this one.

Bengals -6 for 4 units. Dolphins looked awful last week vs the Pats. Andy Dalton is having a solid season. Tyler Boyd is his new favorite target. Cincy’s only loss is to a solid Panthers team in Carolina. This is Miami’s first game without their center Daniel Kilgore. The Bengals should be able to get some pressure up the middle against Tannehill, which will lead to errant passes and hopefully an interception.

Cardinals +3 for 3 units. Now or never.

Eagles -3 for 4 units. Vikings have not looked good and the Eagles will take advantage. The Vikings have not been able to run the ball and that has hurt them the past two weeks. Philly has one of the better run defenses in the league. Philly had over 450 yards against Minnesota last time they played. Anthony Barr can’t cover Ertz.

Eagles/Vikings over 47 for 3 units. I expect some big plays in this one. Philly got up 17-3 last week against the Titans and then slowed down. They will keep the pedal to the metal in this one.

19-15 on college football up 9.11 units

This write-up would be better, but Lil Baby and Gunna’s Drip Too Hard video had me feeling some type of way.

Syracuse -3 for 6 units. My prediction for this game is Syracuse wins by 14. Pittsburgh is ass at football. They lost to UNC. There are 50 quarterbacks in high school better than any QB on North Carolina’s roster. Pittsburgh have to win this game for Pat Narduzzi to keep his job… they won’t.

Michigan State -10 for 3 units. This is not the most talented Michigan State team, but they will do enough here. Mark and MSU will get it done. MSU’s o line is back to being healthy and they will show out with the run game during this game. Northwestern has lost 3 straight games and they need this win much like Pittsburgh… but they won’t get it.

Oklahoma -7 for 2 units. Red River Shootout.. wait it is 2018.. Red River Two Teams That Dislike Each Other. Texas have covered the last 5. They won’t cover this one. Kyler Murray, Kennedy Brooks, and Marquise Brown will be too much for the Longhorns.

LSU -2 for 2 units. Coach O Baby!! These teams hate each other. LSU has looked better this year. This is strictly an eye test bet.

Auburn at -165 for 2 units. Mississippi State has shown me nothing this season that makes me want to bet them – even at night at home. Auburn has the better offense and the better special teams. Mississippi State has solid offensive stats, but those numbers are inflated due to playing Stephen F Austin (who is actually a good basketball school), KSU, and ULL. State has only gained 403 yards in their past two games combined scoring a total of 13 points. Bet Auburn.

NC State at -220 for 1 unit. Boston College has to travel to Raleigh. The Wolfpack will be ready. State is 3-1 ATS this season. State has a better QB and a better defense, not going to overthink this one.

17-15 on college football up 4.86 units

Alabama had the cover at halftime against ULL, but ended up not covering. That is a bad beat. Clemson barely snuck out a win over Syracuse with Trevor Lawrence getting hurt. He should be good to go against Wake Forest. WVU dominated the first half at Texas Tech and staved off the Red Raider comeback. Texas dominated the first half against KSU and held on for the win. Florida beat a ranked Mississippi State team. Virginia Tech got over their ODU loss and beat a ranked duke team. My favorite website. LSU rolled over Ole Miss.

In the game of the week, Ohio State came back from down 12 in the 4th quarter to beat Penn State in front of the largest crowd in Beaver Stadium history. Trace McSorley is pretty damn good for Penn State. He is fun to watch. Penn State will have to beat Michigan, Michigan State, and Wisconsin (along with all their other games) if they want to have a chance at the playoff now.

Georgia Tech at -212 for 5 units. Georgia Tech has the better offense and the better defense. Lamar Jackson covered up a lot of Louisville’s deficiencies last season, he plays for the Baltimore Ravens now. Is Joe Flacco elite? The Yellow Jackets rush for 339 yards per game and they will wear the Cardinals down. Louisville scores a measly 18 points a game. Georgia Tech’s loses were due to penalties and fumbles, but they seemed to have fixed that against Bowling Green. GT averages 2 interceptions a game and Jawon Pass has thrown the 5th most interceptions in college football for the Cardinals.

Utah State +2 for 2 units. I just can’t see why BYU is favored in this one. They looked awful last week against a good Washington team. Utah State has the better offense and the defenses are about the same. Utah State has just passed the eye test for me way more than BYU has so I will bite.

15-16-3 on NFL down 3.48 units

Just can’t seem to get over the hump on my NFL bets. I have made some poor decisions like betting against the Seahawks in their home opener, they just looked so bad against the Cowboys the week before. You bet and you learn, you make more wagers and you earn… or bridges burn.

Patrick Mahomes showed a lot of poise in Kansas City’s win over the Broncos at Mile High Stadium. Everyone is raving about his weak-handed throw to Tyreek Hill while almost getting sacked for the first down. It was amazing play, but I would hope NFL quarterbacks not named Eli Manning/Sam Bradford/Brandon Weeden could make that play. Yes, Brandon Weeden is still on a NFL roster. Andy Reid’s team always start out hot. They beat the Patriots 42-27 to start last season. Mahomes is clearly good, but I want to see him play when it gets cold before I start calling him the next Aaron Rodgers/Brett Favre like a lot of people are.

Patriots -10 at -110 for 2 units. TY Hilton, tight end Jack Doyle, left tackle Anthony Castanzo, and cornerbacks Quincy Wilson and Kenny Moore will be out for the Colts. Needless to say, missing two cornerbacks against Tom Brady is not good. Brady will find the holes in this cover 2 zone defense. Brady is 5-0 against Luck. I don’t think the Colts can stop Gronk with Edelman back. One of them is going to eat. James White is still awesome. Sony Michel and Josh Gordon are talented as well. TY Hilton against Jonathon Jones was a favorable matchup for the Colts, but Hilton is out. A 31-17 type scoreline seems right for this one. Patriots are 9-2 against the spread in the last 11 when favored by double digits.

Patriots to score in each quarter at +100 for 2 units. Patriots have scored in every quarter of every home game so far this season.