15-16-3 on NFL down 3.48 units
Just can’t seem to get over the hump on my NFL bets. I have made some poor decisions like betting against the Seahawks in their home opener, they just looked so bad against the Cowboys the week before. You bet and you learn, you make more wagers and you earn… or bridges burn.
Patrick Mahomes showed a lot of poise in Kansas City’s win over the Broncos at Mile High Stadium. Everyone is raving about his weak-handed throw to Tyreek Hill while almost getting sacked for the first down. It was amazing play, but I would hope NFL quarterbacks not named Eli Manning/Sam Bradford/Brandon Weeden could make that play. Yes, Brandon Weeden is still on a NFL roster. Andy Reid’s team always start out hot. They beat the Patriots 42-27 to start last season. Mahomes is clearly good, but I want to see him play when it gets cold before I start calling him the next Aaron Rodgers/Brett Favre like a lot of people are.
Patriots -10 at -110 for 2 units. TY Hilton, tight end Jack Doyle, left tackle Anthony Castanzo, and cornerbacks Quincy Wilson and Kenny Moore will be out for the Colts. Needless to say, missing two cornerbacks against Tom Brady is not good. Brady will find the holes in this cover 2 zone defense. Brady is 5-0 against Luck. I don’t think the Colts can stop Gronk with Edelman back. One of them is going to eat. James White is still awesome. Sony Michel and Josh Gordon are talented as well. TY Hilton against Jonathon Jones was a favorable matchup for the Colts, but Hilton is out. A 31-17 type scoreline seems right for this one. Patriots are 9-2 against the spread in the last 11 when favored by double digits.
Patriots to score in each quarter at +100 for 2 units. Patriots have scored in every quarter of every home game so far this season.