42-31-3 on the NFL up 34.32 units
Public fades today. Winning ugly.
Titans +7 at -115 for 3 units. Titans lose games they shouldn’t and win games they shouldn’t it seems. Dion Lewis, Malcolm Butler, and Mike Vrabel vs their former team here. Patriots should target Butler though as he has been playing poorly this season. Marcus Mariota has looked better over the past few weeks. Betting against Tom Brady is always tough, but this smells like a trap game. Also, Gronk is out.
Cardinals +16 at -110 for 3 units. If Patrick Mahomes has a morale compass he will sit at halftime once the Chiefs are up 24, then Cardinals backdoor cover against subs. Vegas made this line high because Kansas City keeps covering. Chiefs are 8-1 ATS. Chiefs can win this game by more than 16, but I don’t think they will. Josh Rosen, Fitz, and David Johnson can put up enough points to cover.
Bears -7 at -105 for 3 units. Bears seemed to have turned a corner in their loss to the Patriots a few weeks ago. Mitch Trubisky is second in rushing for a QB behind Cam Newton. Khalil Mack is back for the Bears. Stopping Kerryon Johnson will be the key for Chicago if they want to win. I think they limit Johnson enough and cover the spread in this one.
Falcons/Bears/Jets/Chargers/Rams/Packers/Giants Parlay risking 2 units to win 20.44 units. Won my college football parlay yesterday, so going to keep it going. If the first 6 hit, I may bet a few units on the 49ers on Monday..