Category: Football

46-32-3 on the NFL up 43.39 units

Seahawks at -161 for 3 units. I don’t trust betting on Mike McCarthy. Packers are 0-4 on the road this season and now go to one of the toughest places to play in the NFL. When you look at Seattle’s schedule, they have won every game they should and lost every game they should.. except their opening game against Denver. Russell Wilson leads the NFL on deep TD passes with 9. Tyler Lockett’s ability to gain separation at the end of his routes has been more than impressive this season. Exhibit A against the Rams last week.

Betting against Ayyy A-Ron is never fun, but losing money is less fun. Aaron Jones has been solid for the Packers, but when you are facing 5 men in the box, you better show out. Green Bay got robbed by replacement refs years ago in Seattle, but I think they just get beat in this one. Jimmy Graham against his former team here. Kevin King and Nick Perry are out, which hurts the Packers. Chunk Plays, Rashaad Penny, and Seattle’s defense help them get to 5-5 on the year.

Packers/Seahawks under 49 for 4 units. I see a 24-17 type game here. Neither team has been great at sustaining drives this year. The Packers are averaging 24.8 points a game, but those number are a little lower on the road. The Seahawks are averaging 24.3 points a game, but they have had only one home game go over this 49 number this year.. and that was against the Rams. If this bet loses on an Aaron Rodgers Hail Mary.. I won’t be mad. I won’t be mad. I won’t be mad. There, I said it 3 times, so now I know I won’t be mad. I won’t be mad.

Did you see this shit? Cam Newton is out here giving balls to children while these two wideouts give their touchdown balls to Floyd “Money” Mayweather. You know what all the children that Cam Newton gives his balls to have in common? They are not convicted of domestic abuse and battery unlike Floyd. I mean this is why America hates the 1%. Also, Floyd is obviously selling drugs or gambling with his two phone setup (shoutout Kevin Gates). I mean gambling is a sin Floyd. What a degenerate. I went 3-0 on my NFL bets today.

42-31-3 on the NFL up 34.32 units

Public fades today. Winning ugly.

Titans +7 at -115 for 3 units. Titans lose games they shouldn’t and win games they shouldn’t it seems. Dion Lewis, Malcolm Butler, and Mike Vrabel vs their former team here. Patriots should target Butler though as he has been playing poorly this season. Marcus Mariota has looked better over the past few weeks. Betting against Tom Brady is always tough, but this smells like a trap game. Also, Gronk is out.

Cardinals +16 at -110 for 3 units. If Patrick Mahomes has a morale compass he will sit at halftime once the Chiefs are up 24, then Cardinals backdoor cover against subs. Vegas made this line high because Kansas City keeps covering. Chiefs are 8-1 ATS. Chiefs can win this game by more than 16, but I don’t think they will. Josh Rosen, Fitz, and David Johnson can put up enough points to cover.

Bears -7 at -105 for 3 units. Bears seemed to have turned a corner in their loss to the Patriots a few weeks ago. Mitch Trubisky is second in rushing for a QB behind Cam Newton. Khalil Mack is back for the Bears. Stopping Kerryon Johnson will be the key for Chicago if they want to win. I think they limit Johnson enough and cover the spread in this one.

Falcons/Bears/Jets/Chargers/Rams/Packers/Giants Parlay risking 2 units to win 20.44 units. Won my college football parlay yesterday, so going to keep it going. If the first 6 hit, I may bet a few units on the 49ers on Monday..

42-30-3 on the NFL up 38.32 units

Panthers +4 for 4 units. Cam Newton is playing better then he did in his MVP season. He is completing 67.1% of his passes and has 342 rushing yards through 8 games. McCaffrey, Funchess, DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel, Greg Olsen, and Jarius Wright have been playing well for Carolina in recent weeks. Norv Turner has been dialing up the plays. Carolina’s secondary has played well this season. Rookie Donte Jackson is tied for 1st in the NFL with 4 interceptions, while Mike Adams is tied for 5th with 3 INTs. Panthers have one the best defenses in the league again. Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis matchup well with James Conner. Julius Peppers did not get to Ryan Fitzpatrick last week, but he did have 3 pass breakups. The Panthers are more talented across the football field, except at the position Antonio Brown and JuJu play.

Pittsburgh have won 4 straight. James Conner has been running all over defenses thanks to his ability and solid o-line play. Shoutout Pouncey. Antonio Brown got caught speeding on McKnight Road going over 100 mph hours before arriving to the stadium for Thursday’s games. He will prolly still go off in this game because I am playing him in fantasy this week. Marcus Gilbert and Dan McCullers are out for Pittsburgh. Just a lot of distractions with a good Panthers team coming to town. Panthers matchup well and cover this one.

37-29-3 on NFL up 26.97 units

Chargers at -112 for 2 units. Chargers coming off a BYE. Seahawks have been hard to bet on for me this season, but I like this spot. Phil Rivers has been on fire this season throwing at least two touchdowns in every game. Melvin Gordon should be back to himself here after sitting out the London game. Chargers have to get pressure on Wilson if they want to win. The Lions could not get pressure on Wilson and lost the game as a result.

Falcons/Redskins over 48 points for 3 units. Josh Norman can’t cover Julio. Neither of these teams have a strong secondary. I see a 31-28 type game here.

Steelers at +115 for 3 units. Ravens did not look great last week. Both of these teams could use a win. I expect John Brown and Antonio Brown to both put up numbers. Pittsburgh’s offensive line has looked a lot better over the past 3 games than they did when they first played the Ravens. Pittsburgh, somewhat uncharacteristically, had trouble sustaining drives against Baltimore in their first matchup. James Conner could not get going in that game. JuJu, Connor, and Antonio all get going and get Pittsburgh the win today.

Bears -10 for 6 units. Bills don’t have an offensive line. The Patriots played poorly and still beat the Bills by 19. This is a trap game for the Bears, but they will win it. Chicago has a top 10 offense and a top 10 defense. Trubisky is second to Cam Newton in rushing yards for a quarterback this season. Buffalo has a good defense, but I think we may see some let down for them after a short week where they played their rival.

Panthers over 2.5 sacks at -115 for 2 units. Ryan FitzMagic will get sacked a few times in this one. Carolina’s pass rush has looked better the past two weeks against Baltimore and Philly. Julius Peppers is still on Carolina. If the Panthers get up in this game, FitzMagic will be dropping back a lot, giving more opportunities for this over to hit.

30-24 on college football down 1.58 units

Lost my big bet on Duke on last week. That is what I get for betting on Duke in football. Too bad Zion wasn’t playing tight end for the Blue Devils…. They are paying him enough to. That game was a 16 unit swing for me. Onto today’s plays..

Syracuse at -205 for 2 units. Eric Dungey will be too much for this Wake Forest defense to handle. Brian Ward and the Syracuse defense will mix up their defensive looks to confuse Wake’s freshman QB. Syracuse’s secondary is a little banged up, but they score enough here on the road.

Oklahoma State at -220 for 2 units. Oklahoma State looked solid in the win against Texas. They play Baylor this week, a team that Texas beat. Justice Hill will run all over this Baylor defense. Baylor gives up too many sacks, 26 on the season, and can’t stop the run so bet on the Cowboys.

Georgia Tech -4 at -120 for 2 units. UNC is still garbage. Fire Fedora.

NC State -9 for 6 units. NC State had two let down weeks in a row, but they will get up for FSU. The Wolfpack will pass all over FSU. Ryan Finley is good. NCSU’s defense is solid against the run, which will make it difficult for the Seminoles to sustain drives. FSU might have the worst offensive line in the ACC and that will show up today against a solid Wolfpack defensive line.

Boston College at -125 for 2 units. They are a better team than VT. AJ Dillion will be able to run on Tech’s defense. Also, the Hokies are still starting their backup QB again due to injuries.

37-28-3 on NFL up 29.97 units

Went up 35.43 units in the month of October in the NFL. Aiming for another 20 units in November to be at over 50 units for the season. That will line me up for a nice vacation (maybe the Super Bowl if my Panthers make it). Would like to see the Panthers win a Super Bowl in their rivals stadium. Anyway…

My big bet on the Bengals won… Books should have to text you if Ryan Fitzpatrick comes in as a reliever so you can live bet. I bet on the Bengals because Winston is bad, FitzMagic almost bent me over. At least buy me dinner first Ryan.

Raiders Team Total over 21.5 for 3 units. Only one team has scored under this number against San Francisco this season and that was the Cardinals. Cardinals won 18-15 in that game though. The Raiders scored 28 last week. Jared Cook has quietly been a beast all season. Oakland has a weak secondary and if they get behind they will air it out more. CJ Beathard has turned the ball over the second most times in the league, which should set up the field position battle nicely for Oakland. 49ers don’t have a pass rush, so Carr will have time. I think this number should be around 24, so I will bet it. All of this doesn’t even mention all the injuries San Fran has on defense….