9-4 in snooker in 2018 up 6.58 units
1-0 in 2019 up 2.02 units
Kyren Wilson at -126 for 2 units. Wilson has won his last 7 matches. Wilson has won his last 4 matches against Barry Hawkins, who he faces today. Wilson is cueing the ball real well. He mopped the floor with World #12 Stuart Bingham in the last round. Send it. #STILLONMYSNOOKERSHIT #SNOOKER #IBARELYEVENKNOWHER
91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units
24-16 on tennis in 2019 up 8.79 units
Roberto Bautista-Agut -3 at -157 for 4 units. Marton Fucsovics struggled against debutant Yannick Maden. I thought Fucsovics would handle him easily, but he gave away a set and a break lead to barely win. The Hungarian #1 only converted 4 out of 24 break points. Not good. Bautista-Agut won this tournament in 2016 and is coming off a career best quarterfinal result at a grand slam (the Australian Open). This is the first meeting between the two, but Bautista-Agut is in better form, has a great history here, and is the more experienced player.
Stefanos Tsitsipas at -150 for 4 units. Gael Monfils makes for a fun opponent for the twenty-year-old Greek. They played a close 2-1 match in Shanghai last season with Stefanos gutting out the win. Stefanos has already beat Roger Federer this season on his way to a semifinal berth at the Australian Open. Monfils is also in-form. Gael has won 13 of his last 15 hardcourt matches. Gael’s athleticism will not be enough to overcome poor shot selection and an inconsistent backhand against an opponent of this caliber. If Stefanos gets stuck in baseline rallies, he could be in trouble… but he knows this and will move forward well. Monfils can certainly win this match, but the Greek youngster provides solid value again today.
Tomas Berdych -3 at -118 for 5 units. Berdych is now 6-0 in his career at this tournament. The Czech was the runner-up at Doha and made the round of 16 at the AO. Great results already this season for Berdych. This will be Filip Krajinovic’s 5th match in 7 days on the hardcourts. Krajinovic is a little fatigued, has less experience, is in worse form, and has a disadvantage on this surface. Berdych should be favored by more.
9-4 in snooker in 2018 up 6.58 units
0-0 in 2019
Mark Selby at -293 for 6 units. Selby lost to Noppon Saengkham 5 frames to 4 the last time they played, but he won the 5 previous meetings. The more talented, experienced player gets revenge. #BACKONMYSNOOKERSHIT #SNOOKER #IBARELYEVENKNOWHER
91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units
19-16 on tennis in 2019 up 3.77 units
Was down a lot, but got it all back and more on the Australian Open. I have been watching both of these tournaments and feel strongly enough to make plays on them now. I know I know, all favorites doesn’t seem sharp, but I am not going to bet on an underdog I don’t like because I bet on 4 other favorites that day.
Marton Fucsovics at -278 for 3 units. Yannick Maden actually beat Fucsovics the last time they met, but that was on clay. Maden could win this match, but I think the odds should be closer to -400 for the Hungarian #1.
Daniil Medvedev at -429 for 3 units. Robin Haase won the last meeting, but that was on clay. Medvedev has the advantage on the hardcourt. The Russian #2 is in the best form of his career and I expect that to show here. Haase has lost to everyone he should have this season so far. I like predictable players. Don’t prove me wrong for the first time all season Robin!
Stefanos Tsitsipas at -257 for 3 units. Just betting on him because of his recent instagram post. Does Stefanos know there is more to life than being really really really ridiculously good looking?
Pierre-Hugues Herbert at -269 for 3 units. Ilya Ivashka doesn’t have the serve to overpower Herbert like Raonic and Berdych did in their matchups with the Frenchman. I’m taking the Northern Frenchman to win in Southern France today.
Denis Shapovalov at -316 for 3 units. Marcel Granollers-Pujol didn’t have a break point against Ivo Karlovic in the last round, but he still beat the 37-year-old. Shapovalov will make it even more difficult for Granollers to find a break point. The difference is, Shapovalov is a better returner than Karlovic at this point in their careers. The Canadian has won every match he should have this season and I expect more of the same here.
92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
10-11-3 on Soccer in 2019 down 15.04 units
Lazio -1 at -179 for 7 units. Empoli are in the worst form in Serie A. Lazio are in 7th place in the standings, but are 1 point away from jumping into the top 4. Lazio have never lost to Empoli at home (8 wins, 2 draws). Lazio have given up only 25 goals so far this season. Empoli have given up the most goals in the league at 44 goals conceded. Ciro Immobile should score in this one. Empoli haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 18 league games. Lazio win 3-0 or 3-1 at home.
The NBA takes no time taking over the news cycle from the NFL, hell they tried to take it over during Super Bowl week with the Porzingis trade. The Hornets haven’t got Gasol as of writing this, but if they do… all 17 of us Charlotte fans will be happy with new GM Mitch. Onto the moves that have happened. Post will be updated frequently.
I not going to include any trades that happened prior to Chicago’s Melo/MCW trades last week. I am already mad I talked about MCW for this long.
The Knicks traded Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr., Courtney Lee, and Trey Burke to the Mavs for Wesley Matthews, Dennis Smith Jr., DeAndre Jordan, a 2021 first, and a 2023 protected first. The Mavs get a European big man that can shoot. Their fans now get to be weened off of Dirk with Luka and the Latvian Gang Banger. Not too shabby. The Knicks just keep on Knicking, unless they know they are getting a great FA this summer.. I don’t get this trade for them. Dallas are set up for the future. The Knicks situation seems murky. This is honestly a fair trade in my eyes, but I do think Dallas comes out on top 5 years down the line. If you took the best parts of Frank Ntilikina, Dennis Smith Jr., and Emmanuel Mudiay, you’d have one of the best young guards in the league. Sadly for the Knicks, that isn’t possible.
The Cavaliers traded Rodney Hood to the Blazers for Wade Baldwin IV, Nik Stauskas, a 2021 2nd round pick, and a 2023 2nd round pick. The Blazers get a little better with this trade and move a little more over the luxury tax. Hood will have to compete with Layman and Harkless for playing time. They may make one more trade because Harkless almost seems redundant now. Stauskas can shoot. He played well in November/December, but his defense pushed him out of the lineup. Stauskas should get more playing time in Cleveland. This is a good trade for both teams, Portland gets a scoring wing, while Cleveland gets younger.
The Cavs trade Iman Shumpert, Nik Stauskas, Wade Baldwin IV to the Rockets for Brandon Knight, Marquese Chriss, the 2019 Houston lottery protected 1st round pick, while the Kings get Alec Burks, and a 2nd round pick to make the money work. This is a great trade for the Rockets. Stauskas can play Ryan Anderson and just stand there and drill 3s. Iman adds some needed wing defense and shooting off the bench. The Kings lose Shumpert and add Burks. Sacramento gets a little more offense and a little less defense, but Shumpert would have been redundant with Harrison Barnes coming to town (See Below). Chriss is only 21 and can score, but essentially this means the Cavs get another first and a young player for Rodney Hood. The only downside is they have to pay B Knight, but they have to pay someone… I just wish it was me.
The Pistons trade Reggie Bullock to the Lakers for Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk and a 2021 2nd round pick. Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk may be a great player in 3 years, but Lebron may be playing for the Heat again by then. Bullock adds some much needed 3-point shooting to the LA lineup. I love this trade for the Lakers. As an UNC fan, this makes watching Lebron dishing it out, instead of going for a dunk, a little more bearable. It is not easy staying up to 2 AM because you bet on Lebron’s team to watch him pass it to Lance Stephenson in the 4th Q. Trust me. This will be an easier pill to swallow. It isn’t Anthony Davis, but Bullock’s shooting should help the Lakers make the playoffs.
The Clippers trade Tobias Harris, Boban Marjanovic, and Mike Scott to the 76ers for Landry Shamet, Wilson Chandler, Mike Muscala, a 2020 lottery protected 1st round pick, the 2021 Miami 1st round pick, a 2021 2nd round pick, and a 2023 PHI 2nd round pick. 76ers starting lineup was already one of the best in the league, now it gets even stronger. This trade would be perfect for Philly if the got P Bev in it too as the 76ers need some guard depth/defense. The Clippers have now turned Blake Griffin into 3 firsts and 3 seconds. Pretty damn good business for them. Another solid trade for both teams IMO.
The Suns trade Ryan Anderson to the Heat for Tyler Johnson and Wayne Ellington. Ryan Anderson scored 56 points for Phoenix. The Suns thought they could make the playoffs at the beginning of the year. Now they are trading for the future, which is the right move. Ellington will be waived. Ellington’s shooting will be picked up by a playoff team. Johnson is 26 and shoots a decent average from 3-point range. Trading Anderson for a potential backcourt-mate to Booker is a good trade.
The Bulls trade Jabari Parker, Bobby Portis, and a 2023 2nd round pick to the Wizards for Otto Porter Jr. The Wizards trade a young, valuable 3 and D player for two one-dimensional 4s, but their owner gets to save 5 million dollars on the luxury tax. Hooray! John Wall slipped during his recovery and tore his Achilles. Also, he has an infection. He won’t be back till after the all-star break next season at the earliest. Sad to say, but John Wall’s explosiveness may never be seen again..
The Mavericks trade Harrison Barnes to the Kings for Justin Jackson and Zac Randolph. This trade is bigger than it appears at first glance because with the departure of Harrison’s contract, the Mavs can sign a max player this summer. Porzingis, Doncic, and a max player like KD make Dallas one of the best teams in the league next season IMO. The Kings get a valuable piece for their playoff push at the cost of a young wing in Jackson. If Jackson can get a little better at shooting from deep, this trade gets even better for Dallas. I love Zac Randolph, but he is nothing more than an expiring contract in this trade, although he could get some of DeAndre’s minutes.
The Pistons trade Wesley Johnson to the Bulls for Markieff Morris and a 2023 second round pick. I’ll take “NBA trade I don’t care about” for 1000 Trebek.
The Bucks receive Nikola Mirotic and send Thon Maker to Detroit, while Detroit sends Stanley Johnson, Jason Smith, and 4 second round picks to the Pelicans. New Orleans gets the picks they wanted! Bucks get a shooting big that adds a lot of spacing for their already solid offense.
The Clippers trade Avery Bradley to the Grizzlies for Garrett Temple and JaMychal Green. I am confused on why either team made this trade. I thought the Grizzlies would trade Conley after making this trade, but they didn’t. I like Green and Bradley though so good trade for both teams I guess..
The Grizzlies trade Marc Gasol to the Raptors for Jonas Valanciunas, Delon Wright, CJ Miles, and a second round pick. Raptors get better at the 5. If you’re keeping track, the Bucks, 76ers, and Raptors all got better starting fives at the deadline. Boston did not. The Grizz get some serviceable players for one of their franchise centerpieces. I would have wanted a better young player than they got or a first round pick for Gasol; however, I really like Gasol so I may be inflating his value. Good trade Toronto.
The Lakers trade Ivica Zubac and Michael Beasley to the Clippers for Mike Muscala. Lakers need 3-point shooting and spacing around Lebron. They did that this deadline with Bullock and Muscala. Not sexy trades, but they will help LA with their playoff push. KCP and Lance can’t be your only deep threats in the West. I don’t know if I love or hate Lance’s guitar strum celebration for making 3s…
The 76ers trade Markelle Fultz to the Magic for Jonathan Simmons, the 2020 OKC top-20-protected 1st round pick, and a second round pick. Fultz has had one of the weirder NBA careers in recent memory. He loves Chick-fil-a, but can’t shoot. Let’s draft him with the 1st pick. That OKC pick may be the most traded draft pick of all-time. Someone fact check that for me. The Magic get a number 1 pick they can sit on and wait to get healthy for no real cost. The end of an error for Philly.
92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units
9-11-3 on Soccer in 2019 down 16.17 units
Barcelona to advance at -154 for 10 units.
Barcelona at -146 for 8 units.
Barcelona -1 at +118 for 5 units. Only play if Messi plays. Messi left the Valencia game with a minor injury.. He is on the squad list so I expect him to play, but if his injury is more serious and he isn’t in the lineup. Stay away. I will update this post the second lineups are announced. Furthermore, If Messi does play, I love this Barcelona play because that means Barcelona are not fucking around by playing a “less than 100 percent” Messi. Busquets was out for cards against Valencia, his rested legs will be added bonus for Barca.
Bale and Vinicius Junior are now fighting for the Real’s left wing spot. Bale may be falling out of favor quickly in Madrid. The problem for Real Madrid is they don’t have Ronaldo… well that’s only part of it. Modric, Kroos, and Casemiro’s workrates have been lacking this season IMO. Casemiro can blame lack of fitness. Modric can blame him being better than Messi and Ronaldo according to the Ballon d’Or. Kroos can blame Donald Trump. Madrid actually had more shots on goal the last time they played Barcelona, but they lost 5-1. Barcelona is just more clinical this season and that will show again tonight. Real Madrid could always get their corner goal from Varane or Ramos, but Barcelona could score a Messi free-kick goal just as easy. Real Madrid haven’t won a road game against a top-tier team like Barcelona since Ronaldo played for them. Beating Espanyol, Sevilla, and Roma away isn’t easy, but the Camp Nou is a major step up.
Manchester City at -344 for 4 units. City can almost sniff the title. Bernado Silva made Arsenal’s midfield look like school children. He should work Everton too. Aguero is in form. Silva 1 and 2 are in form. Sterling, Mahrez, and Sane will provide the width. City have won 3-1 the last two times they’ve met Everton. City are in form. Everton are not.
68-56-5 on the NFL up 27.53 units
Went ahead and put my season long bets into my record. There were 3 of them.. Saints to win NFC, Panthers to win NFC, and Patriots to win AFC. The Patriots won at +200. The Panthers and Saints bets lost but I still won 2 units. Woohoo. People were telling me I was dumb to bet on Patriots AFC at +200 instead of Super Bowl at +375, but the Super Bowl odds for the Pats went up to +750 after the Dolphins or Titans loss. Can’t remember which one. Anyway, onto the Super Bowl.
Patriots -1 at -120 for 7 units. The Rams allowed the most yards per carry in the NFL this season (5.1), and were a bottom ten rush defense. I want to bet against the Patriots, but I keep seeing Goff’s 4 interceptions against the Bears every time I try to. Bill Belichick has been sending Sean McVay flowers. Mind games go to the Pats. Also, Wade Phillips is really going to out-scheme Tom Brady? McVay is really going to out-scheme Belichick? It could happen, but I sincerely doubt it. New England’s playoff rushing offense will be too much for the Rams rushing defense. Gronk is healthy and will empty the chamber as it could be his last game. Patriots will be ready for everything after losing to the Philly Special last season.
Tom Brady to win Super Bowl MVP at -110 for 3 units. If the Patriots win (they will), then Tom will win MVP.
James White over 5.5 receptions at -167 for 4 units. This number could be 10.5 and I would still bet the over. No Ragrets. Not even a single letter.
6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units
3-1 in 2019 up 1.66 units
Charles Oliveira at -119 for 5 units. Oliveira has 3 performances of the night in a row. He has the most UFC submission wins all time with 12. Jim Miller was like what’s happening to me and then rear-naked choke time. Clay Guida was like what’s happening to me and then guillotine choke time. Charles is a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu. Charles says he will fight 5 times this year. He is an animal. Oliveira deserves a top 5 fight if he wins this one against David Teymur. Oliveira’s grappling and flexibility get him the win. If you want to see Charles take someone bigger to the ground… Scroll/Look up.
Livia Souza at -217 for 3 units. Souza’s opponent came in 7 pounds overweight. The bout will proceed as scheduled though, with Frota forfeiting 40 percent of her purse to Souza. Souza called her opponent unprofessional. This is Sarah Frota’s first UFC fight. She may not have many more sadly.
Magomed Bibulatov/Rogerio Bontorin over 2.5 at -209 for 3 units. If Bibulatov can defend against Bontorin’s rear naked choke, this will go over. Bibulatov got knocked out in the first round of his last bout, but Bontorin doesn’t have the punching power. I am betting Bibulatov’s chin holds up here. Submission defense will be the key to this over and the fight for Magomed.
70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units
13-13-1 this season up 2.29 units
George Mason +8 for 3 units. I bet against GMU once this season and they really surprised me with how well they played. Coming into the season I did not think Mason would do this well. They struggled a little in non-conference, but are tied atop the A-10 right now. The Siegel center is never an easy place to play. VCU has one of the best home-courts in the country. VCU lost at Rhode Island. GMU dominated at Rhode Island. Basketball is a game of matchups. Marcus Evans and De’Riante Jenkins are solid for VCU, but 9 points is a lot in a rivalry game.
Virginia -19 for 3 units. UVA has one loss on the year and that was a 72-70 loss to Dook. Miami has lost their last 4 games. Virginia has the best defense in the country. Miami’s defense has about 13 lapses a game. UVA is 16-4 ATS. Miami is 6-14 ATS. This line should be above 20.
Old Dominion -12 for 3 units. Rice doesn’t have the size or defense to keep up with ODU on the road. BJ Stith is a fun guard to watch for the Monarchs. He averages almost 8 rebounds a game as a guard.
Ohio State/Florida State/Dayton/Kansas/Charleston/IPFW Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.75 units. I always seem to get Kansas games wrong this year. Kansas, nobody likes a parlay killer.
