69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
15-25 on the NFL this season down 20.49 units
49ers -4 at -115 for 4 units. Chubb went off against the Ravens. The 49ers have given up the 3rd fewest rushing yards per game this season and are the only team to not allow a rushing TD. Ravens got full-Chubbed. I expect the 49ers to only get about quarter-Chubb. San Francisco are coming off of a BYE and are at home. Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams, and Redwine are out in Cleveland’s secondary. Ahkello Witherspoon, San Francisco’s best corner this season, is out. OBJ had 3 targets and no catches last year against Witherspoon. OBJ should do well tonight, but so should San Francisco’s offense.
The 49ers have a big enough advantage on the defensive line to control the game. Staley is out for San Francisco and Myles Garrett could cause problems, but I expect Shanahan to scheme away from him. Jimmy G is 9-2 as the 49ers starter. Kyle Juszczyk and George Kittle bring their lunchpail to work everyday. 49ers have the better playing QB, a better defense, and the rest/home-field advantage.