58-43-4 on the NFL up 35.20 units
Chiefs at -189 for 9 units. Almost a MAX PLAY. Kansas City are 6-0 at home this season. Home teams are 10-3 on Thursday nights this NFL season. Travis Kelce is on pace to break the NFL record for TE yards in a season. This game is crucial to playoff seeding as the Chiefs are just 1 game ahead of the Chargers for first place. The #1 seed has made the Super Bowl in the AFC each of the last 5 seasons (Denver in 13 and 15, Pats in the other years). Rivers is throwing the least amount of interceptions in his career this season, but he has struggled against the Chiefs in his career. He did go off on them in September, but KC’s defense looks better now.
Ekeler looks to be out for the Chargers with a concussion, while Gordon will likely play at less than 100% as he had a limited practice Tuesday. KC averages 8 more points a game than LA. KC converts 7% more on 3rd downs. LA has the better defense with Bosa back, but KC actually has more sacks on the year. Keenan Allen has been playing great recently and will most likely eat. Eric Berry (lifestory warms my heart) and Tyreek Hill (let’s not talk about his personal life..) are both questionable, but I think they both play limited snaps. KC’s homefield advantage (windy and might rain), better offense, ability to pressure Rivers, and better coaching gets them the win in this one.