91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

34-29 on tennis in 2019 down 31.90 units

Nadal at +193 for 3 units. Federer has won the past 3 meetings in straight sets, but Nadal still leads the H2H 23-15. Nadal’s first serve win rate is higher than 70% in this tournament. He struggled with his first serve a little in his most recent loss to Krygios. Nadal dropped 3 match points in that match. He has been refocused since losing that heated match. The conditions have been a little slow this week compared to past years, which I think helps Nadal. I missed Federer’s last match (straight sets win over Hurkacz) due to watching basketball, but I watched the highlights and read some twitter opinions. It was more of the same for Federer who has now won 7 straight matches in a row in straight sets. Nadal does have some fitness problems, but he fights through it and gets the win today behind a more consistent first serve than Federer.

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