55-28-3 on tennis up 19.59 units
Nikoloz Basilashvili at +215 for 1 unit. Nikoloz has not lost a set in his past 5 matches that included wins against Del Potro and Kyle Edmund among others. Alexander Zverev should still be the favorite, but not this heavy of one. Zverev has lost in his past 4 tournaments to underdogs like this. The German got a bye in the first round so he could come out a little flat. The Georgian #1 has a solid chance in this one.
Stefanos Tsitsipas at +119 for 3 units. Stefanos made it to the quarterfinals at Tokyo last week, which is a career best result for the 20-year-old Greek in Asia. Tsitsipas won 3 matches in his debut here last season. Karen Khachanov lost to Stefanos in qualifications last season at this Shanghai tournament. That is the only other meeting between these two up and comers. Tsitsipas has been in better form all year, has done well in his only other Shanghai appearance, and has the H2H result.
Kevin Anderson at -260 for 2 units. Anderson goes up against Mikhail Kukushkin here. Anderson leads the H2H 3-1, winning the past 3 matchups. Mikhail has won a set in all of those loses though. Anderson is having the best season of his career in 2018 with 43 wins. Just think the gap in talent is too much for the Kazakh #1 here, even though Anderson looked a little shaky in Tokyo last week. Anderson’s serve is too strong and he will get enough “easy” points to move on in this one.